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2024-12-14 11:28:07

Zhu Min, former vice president of IMF: Domestic consumption, manufacturing and green transformation will become the growth drivers of China's economy. Recently, at the China 2024 Annual Meeting and the 22nd Financial Billboard, Zhu Min, former vice president of China International Economic Exchange Center, said that one of the three traditional locomotives of China's economic growth is infrastructure investment; The second is the real estate industry, and the third is export. The transformation of the whole economic structure needs a new growth impetus. Zhu Min said that this new growth driver is, first, based on domestic consumption, and second, insisting on doing a good job in domestic manufacturing and doing high technology; The third is green transformation. We will continue to take the road of sustainable development of green transformation in China and improve our core competitiveness.Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.IEA Monthly Report: Despite the rising demand, the oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday that although OPEC+extended the reduction of oil supply and the demand forecast was slightly higher than expected, the global oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. In its monthly oil market report, the agency said that its forecast of global oil demand growth in 2025 was raised from 990,000 barrels per day last month to 1.1 million barrels per day, "mainly from Asian countries, especially affected by China's recent stimulus measures".


The Japanese yen faces new risks. Strategists worry that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later to raise interest rates. A new risk is emerging for the Japanese yen. Foreign exchange strategists in Tokyo warn that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later next year to raise interest rates. On Wednesday, the market tasted this danger, and the yen fell to its lowest level in more than two weeks as traders responded to a Bloomberg report that the Bank of Japan is known to think that it is no harm to raise interest rates later. The yen only fell to 152.82 against the dollar, and the market is still debating whether the Bank of Japan will take action at its next meeting on December 19 or about a month later. Shusuke Yamada, head of Japan's foreign exchange and interest rate strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo, said that if policymakers put off raising interest rates for a longer time, the situation would be very different. "If the interest rate hike is postponed until March, the yen carry trade is likely to make a comeback," Yamada said on Thursday. "The yen is likely to fall again to a level just below the 157 mark hit in 155 or November."Zhu Min, former vice president of IMF: Domestic consumption, manufacturing and green transformation will become the growth drivers of China's economy. Recently, at the China 2024 Annual Meeting and the 22nd Financial Billboard, Zhu Min, former vice president of China International Economic Exchange Center, said that one of the three traditional locomotives of China's economic growth is infrastructure investment; The second is the real estate industry, and the third is export. The transformation of the whole economic structure needs a new growth impetus. Zhu Min said that this new growth driver is, first, based on domestic consumption, and second, insisting on doing a good job in domestic manufacturing and doing high technology; The third is green transformation. We will continue to take the road of sustainable development of green transformation in China and improve our core competitiveness.The Nikkei 225 index just broke through the 39,900.00 mark, and the latest report was 39,899.07, up 1.34% in the day.


Alleged of tax evasion, Adidas' German headquarters was raided for two days in a row. On December 11th, local time, criminal prosecutors and customs investigators raided Adidas' German headquarters for the second day in a row, which was an escalation of years of investigation on the sports brand's alleged tax evasion. The amount of tax evasion may exceed 1.1 billion euros. The European Prosecutor's Office (EPPO), headquartered in Luxembourg, said on the 11th that it was conducting a "criminal investigation" against a German sportswear trading enterprise group on the grounds that it was "suspected of tax evasion related to customs duties and import and sales taxes". Adidas said that this long-term investigation is unlikely to have "any significant financial impact".Russian Savings Bank: The contribution of artificial intelligence to Russia's GDP may reach 11.2 trillion rubles by 2030. Alexander Bedia Xin, the first vice chairman of the board of directors of Russian Savings Bank, said in his speech at the AI Journey that the application of artificial intelligence in Russia may bring 11.2 trillion rubles to GDP by 2030.Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.

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